connielane: (plz vote)
connielane ([personal profile] connielane) wrote2008-04-22 08:54 am

[POLITICS] For those of you keeping track at home...

After today's primary (which is not likely to end anything, except in the unlikely event that either Obama upsets or Clinton wins by a significant two-digit margin), we've got...

Indiana and North Carolina in 2 weeks,
Nebraska and West Virginia a week later,
Kentucky and Oregon a week later,
and Puerto Rico, Montana, and South Dakota 2 weeks later.

And the Democratic National Convention not quite 2 months after that. I know it's genuinely close (and it's so great that so many states are actually having a say in the primaries this time), and I have nothing at all against Sen. Clinton, but ... part of me wishes it could all just end tonight. And I'm getting a feeling the news pundits feel much the same way. :P

There's absolutely no reason that Clinton should not be pressing forward, obviously, but I think it's killing her politically. And I wonder if all this won't hurt her in the long run if she doesn't become the nominee and tries to run again.

On a lighter note ... ROFLMAO at Obama on Jon Stewart last night - "Will you pull a bait-and-switch, sir, and enslave the white race?"
aberration: NASA Webb image of the Carina nebula (Default)

[personal profile] aberration 2008-04-22 02:38 pm (UTC)(link)
What's really amusing me is that a lot of people are looking at Indiana now, as it was, at least, a state that it looked like either Clinton or Obama had a good chance of winning (I think Obama's leading there now, though). It's so funny to see the 'OMG, WE'RE IMPORTANT!' reaction back there.

[identity profile] divinemum.livejournal.com 2008-04-22 02:48 pm (UTC)(link)
Gotta love Clinton's dedication. :\ I'm serious when I say that I don't normally pray for political outcomes, but I am seriously praying for an Obama victory in PA just so we can put an end to all of this and concentrate on the general election in November.

[identity profile] queenriley.livejournal.com 2008-04-22 02:53 pm (UTC)(link)
This is the first time ever my vote will actually COUNT for something!!!! (first as a Democrat in Texas, lot of good that did, and now as a Democrat in North Carolina)

You should see how excited Democrats in North Carolina are. Oh we're just tickled pink that we get to be important in a primary. :D

[identity profile] peachespig.livejournal.com 2008-04-22 04:26 pm (UTC)(link)
which is not likely to end anything, except in the unlikely event that either Obama upsets or Clinton wins by a significant two-digit margin

I don't think there's any possible Clinton victory today that's big enough to end it in her favor. Obama is still way ahead and even if she won by 20+ percentage points, all that would do is make up a fraction of his lead. To have a chance at tying his pledged delegate lead she has to run the table of all remaining primaries by 20+ points... and then it would still be a tie.

I hope it ends tonight too, but I'm not optimistic. Not like I understand polling or GOTV or anything, but it looks like Clinton by 5-10 is the default outcome given the polls and given the undecided voters habit in similar states like Ohio of breaking for her at the last minute.

I totally agree that this is killing her politically. I've read a couple things about superdelegates off the record saying that they are really turned off by the way she's been playing the game.

Democratic party leaders are going to be pushing superdelegates more and more to make up their minds one way or the other so it can be done. I do expect it to be over, and Obama to be the nominee, by June; but I too would really prefer it to be over tonight.

[identity profile] lunalovepotter.livejournal.com 2008-04-23 01:46 am (UTC)(link)
I know it's genuinely close (and it's so great that so many states are actually having a say in the primaries this time), and I have nothing at all against Sen. Clinton, but ... part of me wishes it could all just end tonight.

I'm right there with you. The Democrats just never make it easy on themselves, or on us. :p

[identity profile] pennylane-4.livejournal.com 2008-04-23 03:37 am (UTC)(link)
I... okay, I'll be honest, I just wanted an excuse to use my Jon Stewart icon. :D

I do agree with you about wishing it could have ended tonight, though. No such luck, of course. :/